We are now into Week 13 of the 2019 season. There are two more weeks in the regular season and then one week of conference championships.
The most important news is that Alabama QB Tua is gone with a season and possibly career ending injury. Count him out for returning to Bama for another season even if he heals. Take no risks and go for the NFL.
Bama’s chances of the playoffs ended with Tua. Mac Jones is just not the qb that Tua was.
And with that, here are the games.
Arkansas at No. 1 LSU (-44)
LSU continues to have a lock on the #1 ranking. Nothing that a game with Arkansas will do can open that lock. The only question is whether LSU can cover a 44 point spread.
LSU wins but FAILS TO COVER the spread.
No. 9 Penn State at No. 2 Ohio State (-18.5)
This is one of the two most important games left on the Buckeye schedule, the other being Michigan.
Can Penn State defeat Ohio State? That remains to be seen, but the smart money says no. The Penn State defense cannot do anything other than slow the Ohio State offense.
Ohio State wins but FAILS TO COVER the spread.
No. 24 Texas A&M at No. 4 Georgia (-13.5)
This is an important game for Georgia. They must win and keep winning to gain a playoff spot.
The Aggies role is now as spoiler while they wait to find out which December bowl game they will go to play. So far, Aggie SEC play has involved falling to the ranked teams, and Clemson also. The outcome of the game is not in doubt, only the spread.
Georgia wins and COVERS the spread.
Western Carolina vs. No. 5 Alabama (-62)
This is the first game for Alabama’s new era of quarterback play. Tua’s injury has removed him from play for the rest of the year, and likely ended his Senior season next year. For him, it is “recover” and head to the pros, or else quit the game.
Mac Jones goes in as the starting QB, and will be effective. But 44 point spreads are tough, even with Tua as qb.
Alabama wins but FAILS TO COVER the spread.
No. 6 Oregon (-14.5) at Arizona State
Oregon is fighting for the #4 playoff position, with its true competition being only Georgia. Oregon must win out big to show the Committee that they deserve a Playoff berth.
Arizona State has lost four and prepares for a fifth loss.
Oregon wins and COVERS the spread.
No. 7 Utah (-22) at Arizona
Utah is the only roadblock in the way of Oregon towards the PAC 12 championship and the Playoffs, if Georgia stumbles. The Utes must continue to win like Oregon.
Arizona is another team that has nothing in the tank to stop Utah.
Utah wins and COVERS the spread.
TCU at No. 8 Oklahoma (-17.5)
The Sooner loss to Kansas State two weeks ago essentially took them out of the running for a playoff spot. Now they play for the Big 12 title and a New Year’s Day game.
Oklahoma wins and COVERS the spread.
No. 11 Minnesota (-13) at Northwestern
The odds finally caught up with Minnesota last week, and their perfect season vanished. But now, it is about winning the Big 10 title and a New Year’s Day game.
Northwestern finally had a good offensive outing last week. Even with a good outing again, Minnesota blows through them.
Minnesota wins and COVERS the spread.
No. 12 Michigan (-8.5) at Indiana
Michigan’s season has had a big turnaround from the beginning of play. They are finally clicking on most cylinders, making the Harbaugh stay a bit more likely for another season.
But for all the good of later games, Michigan needs to win out for Wolverine fans to declare the season a success. So Michigan goes into Indiana with attitude.
Indiana has played Michigan tough, taking them to overtime that last two seasons. But that will not happen on Saturday.
Michigan wins and COVERS the spread.
Texas at No. 13 Baylor (-5)
With Baylor losing last week to Oklahoma when the team just took a knee the entire second half, Bear’s play is now a real question mark. Are they a good team? Did the complete second half collapse against the Sooners destroy their confidence? Can they win again?
Texas lost last week, for the fourth time this season. Those losses have been to quality teams. The following week after losses, Texas has won. Now, they meet the Bears, who have their own problems.
Texas wins in an UPSET.
Purdue at No. 14 Wisconsin (-24)
Purdue comes into this game with back-to-back victories, providing them some confidence. Wisconsin, though having two losses, is still a worthy Top ranked team with a New Year’s Day bowl game on the line.
Like other games this week, it is all about the spread.
Wisconsin wins but FAILS TO COVER the spread.
Boston College at No. 15 Notre Dame (-19.5)
Notre Dame’s season has gone from feast to something a bit above famine. Their hopes for the playoffs are gone. So now they play for Irish Honor.
BC has not defeated ND for seven years. This will make it eight years.
Notre Dame wins but FAILS TO COVER the spread.
Samford at No. 16 Auburn (-48.5)
This is another nothing game at the near end of the season. Samford has no hope of winning.
Auburn uses this game as a tune up for next week’s Iron Bowl game against Alabama.
Auburn wins but FAILS TO COVER the spread.
Temple at No. 17 Cincinnati (-10.5)
Temple goes to Cincinnati with a decent team, one capable of actually defeating the Bearcats under the right circumstances. But the Bearcats are playing for a New Year’s Day bowl game, and won’t be deterred.
Cincinnati wins and COVERS the spread.
No. 18 Memphis (-15) at South Florida
Memphis is Cincinnati’s only challenger now for a New Year’s Day bowl appearance. To decide, the Tiger’s meet the Bearcats next week.
South Florida does not have a team capable of beating Memphis. And Memphis is motivated to win.
Memphis wins and COVERS the spread.
Illinois at No. 19 Iowa (-14)
Illinois has proven to be a tougher team than in previous years and go to Iowa on a four game winning streak. They have a signature win against Wisconsin to start that streak.
Iowa has three losses, all to top ranked teams and a signature win over Minnesota.
Iowa wins but FAILS TO COVER the spread.
No. 20 Boise State (-7.5) at Utah State
Boise State goes to Utah as 7.5 point favorites. They are in control of the Mountain West division, with a 9-1 record and seeking a conference title.
Utah State is 6-4 and playing for a minor bowl game. Winning out would give them a bit better of a bowl appearance, but no other relevance.
Boise State wins and COVERS the spread.
No. 21 SMU at Navy (-4)
This is one of the most interesting games of the week. SMU goes to Navy as 4 point underdogs.
The only advantage that SMU has in this game is that they enter after a bye week, where they had additional time to prepare.
Navy wins and COVERS the spread.
West Virginia at No. 22 Oklahoma State (-7.5)
Oklahoma State has finally pulled things together for a stint in the Top 25. They entertain West Virginia before their meeting engagement with the Sooners next weekend.
West Virginia comes a calling with hopes of knocking off the Cowboys. This will provide for an interesting game, well worth watching.
Oklahoma State gets caught looking to the Sooners game and West Virginia takes advantage
West Virginia wins in an UPSET.
Texas State at No. 23 Appalachian State (-29)
Appalachian State has been quite the surprise this year, They continue on their march to the Sun Belt championship.
Texas State gave up 63 points to a weak Troy team, a sign that their defense is almost non-existent.
Appalachian State wins and COVERS the spread.
Pitt at No. 25 Virginia Tech (-4)
Hurray! The Hokies have made it back into the Top 25. Now they entertain a Pitt team that can never be counted as an easy victory.
Both teams have major incentive to win. Virginia has a one game lead over each, and if Virginia Tech can knock off Virginia next week, this game looms large in the bowl game picture.
The Hokies win and COVERS the spread.
There we have it. Enjoy the games and PU will be back next week for the final regular season games.