After the Kavanaugh victory and the Democrats’ missteps there, we began to see a surge in Republican support at the Senate level. Then we started to hear Democrat pollsters quietly beginning to issue warnings that the House was not a sure thing for the Democrats at all.
In yet another sign of trouble for the Democrats, Trump is is enjoying a nice pop in his approval ratings, likely brought on by a combination of his victory on the Kavanaugh confirmation hearing and his recent schedule of rallies:
The poll found Trump’s approval rating at its highest level for that poll yet, at 47 percent. Obama’s approval rating was 45 percent around the same time in 2010, according to a similar NBC/Wall Street Journal poll taken in late October 2010.
Obama’s approval rating was reaching a record low in October 2010, just before his party lost a significant number of seats in the House and Senate.
Trump is a historically unpopular president among the general U.S. population, but consistently retains extremely high levels of Republican support. Recent polls have put him at around a 90 percent approval rating among Republicans.
Many see the midterm elections as a referendum on the current president.
Republicans and Democrats are facing a particularly tough election year, with vulnerable Democratic senators seeking to retain their seats in states Trump won by double digits in 2016 as Republicans deal with widespread Trump disapproval among suburban women and other groups.