Jair Bolsonaro Expected to Win Brazil’s First Round Election Today UPDATE: Run-off Declared

Another defeat for the left

DF - SENADO/BOLSONARO - POLÍTICA - O deputado Jair Bolsonaro (PP-RJ) é visto no plenário do Senado, em Brasília (DF), nesta terça-feira. 11/02/2014 - Foto: DIDA SAMPAIO/ESTADÃO CONTEÚDO


Spartan Hero here, giving an update to what has transpired today. At the beginning of the day, things were looking great as Brazilians overseas in places like Japan, China, New Zealand and so on cast their votes, all of them giving strong support to Bolsonaro. But as voting began in Brazil, cries of fraud began to quickly spread across the internet, many people showing the electronic voting machines manipulating the vote right before their eyes.

To give you a quick rundown on how Brazilian voting machines work, it uses a 10-keypad and every candidate for office has a number assigned to them. Presidential candidates show-up last and only have two numbers. Bolsonaro was 17; his primary opponent, Haddad (ex-President Lula’s puppet) was 13. There were several other candidates on the ballot, but the battle was mainly between these two.

One common complaint was that as soon as the voter would push “1” on the keypad, it would autofill the ballot in with Haddad. It’s not supposed to fill in anything. Apart from that, complaints also included that people would put in 17, and the machine would come up with an error.

After all was said and done, Brazil’s northeast has still shown to be a stronghold for socialist thinking. It was that region of the country that gave PT, Lula and Dilma power, and this time that combined with the irregularities have forced Bolsonaro into a run-off election with Haddad. The run-off will take place the last week of this month.

UPDATE: Adding a video of Bolsonaro talking about going into the 2nd round of the Presidential elections. Among the many things he’s talking about, he mentions that he wants to have Brazil catch up with more powerful nations like the USA; he also wants to end the practice of the government stealing farms from farms and giving them to corrupt bureaucrats (a communist practice that never got a lot of press)

Here’s the election map of how things went. The red areas voted for Haddad of PT, showing continued support for socialist policies in these areas. These areas are also among some of the poorest in Brazil:

Bolsonaro still has a hill to climb here, as most of the other candidates are socialists, so they’ll tell their voters to vote for Haddad. Bolsonaro was also off the campaign trail for 20 days due to the assassination attempt, but he is out now, so I’m sure he’ll be hitting the campaign trail as hard as his health allows.

Here’s a comparison map to show the results from the past two elections, showing that socialism has a stronghold in the northeastern part of the country (PT knows this, thus shields them as best they can from PT’s own policies)

A couple of bright spots:

– Bolsonaro’s son Flavio ran for the Federal Senate seat to the state of Rio De Janeiro (most people only think of the city, but it’s a state too, with the city being the capital) and won, getting 4.3+ million votes. This is more than any other Congressperson in Brazil’s history, by what I’m reading.

– Dilma Rouseff, the impeached and disgraced ex-President of Brazil was also running for a Federal Senate seat in the state of Minas Gerais (a large state located north of the states of São Paulo and Rio De Janeiro). She was born in Minas, but currently resides in Southern Brazil, which is a bit more conservative; she tried doing a Mitt Romney/Hillary Clinton, but she lost her race badly, coming in 4th place.

If there are any other major updates, I’ll post them here accordingly.

Original Story

I hope you’re not tired of all the winning yet:

Brazilians are choosing their leaders Sunday in an election marked by intense anger at the ruling class following years of political and economic turmoil, including what may be the largest corruption scandal in Latin American history.

Many had thought that “throw-the-bums-out” rage would buoy the chances of an outsider and end the hegemony of the center-left Workers’ Party and the center-right Brazilian Social Democracy Party, which have for years battled it out for the presidency.

Like much in this election, it hasn’t turned out as predicted. The man who has benefited most from the anger is a 27-year veteran of Congress — Jair Bolsonaro — whose outsider status is based largely on hard-right positions that have alienated as many as they have attracted — nostalgia for a military dictatorship, insults to women and gay people and calls to fight crime by loosening controls on already deadly police forces.

In second place is former Sao Paulo Mayor Fernando Haddad of the Workers’ Party, which has won the last four presidential elections.

Bolsonaro garnered 36 percent in the latest Datafolha poll, with Haddad 14 points behind. The poll interviewed 19,552 people Friday and Saturday and has a margin of error of 2 percentage points. If no one gets a majority on Sunday, a runoff will be held Oct. 28.

“In general, these are the strangest elections I’ve ever seen,” said Monica de Bolle, director of Latin American Studies at Johns Hopkins University. “It’s shaping up to be a contest between the two weakest candidates possible.”

The campaign to run Latin America’s largest economy, which is a major trade partner for countries in the region and a diplomatic heavyweight, has been unpredictable and tense. Former President Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva led initial polls by a wide margin, but was banned from running after a corruption conviction. Bolsonaro was stabbed at a rally in early September and campaigned from a hospital bed in recent weeks. And all along, Brazilians have said their faith in their leaders and their hopes for the future are waning.


Written by Doomberg

I am Doomberg, one of the original founding members of Sparta Report, and have been here since the beginning. I am an insatiable news junkie and enjoy reading and writing about the US territories, the Caribbean, video games, smartphones, and of course conservative politics in general.

I also really like pictures of gas stations and claim full responsibility for the silly gas station motif. I'm presently trapped behind enemy lines in a blue state with no hope of escape! The ride never ends.

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