Special Counsel Robert Mueller is reportedly preparing his final report on supposed Russian “hacking” of the 2016 election. The left wing activist class is expecting to hear about how Putin changed peoples’ votes and somehow installed Trump as president, thus justifying everything they have spent the last two years doing.
Politico is warning them to expect disappointment:
President Donald Trump’s critics have spent the past 17 months anticipating what some expect will be among the most thrilling events of their lives: special counsel Robert Mueller’s final report on Russian 2016 election interference.
They may be in for a disappointment.
That’s the word POLITICO got from defense lawyers working on the Russia probe and more than 15 former government officials with investigation experience spanning Watergate to the 2016 election case. The public, they say, shouldn’t expect a comprehensive and presidency-wrecking account of Kremlin meddling and alleged obstruction of justice by Trump — not to mention an explanation of the myriad subplots that have bedeviled lawmakers, journalists and amateur Mueller sleuths.
Perhaps most unsatisfying: Mueller’s findings may never even see the light of day.
“That’s just the way this works,” said John Q. Barrett, a former associate counsel who worked under independent counsel Lawrence Walsh during the Reagan-era investigation into secret U.S. arms sales to Iran. “Mueller is a criminal investigator. He’s not government oversight, and he’s not a historian.”
All of this may sound like a buzzkill after two years of intense news coverage depicting a potential conspiracy between the Kremlin and Trump’s campaign, plus the scores of tweets from the White House condemning the Mueller probe as a “witch hunt.”
As for the crafting of the report itself, Mueller has significant leeway. He can theoretically be as expansive as he wants. But sources who have worked closely with Mueller during his lengthy career at the Justice Department say his by-the-books, conservative style is likely to win out, suggesting he might lean more toward saying less than more.
Here’s what’s going on.
Since we don’t actually live in a communist dictatorship (yet) if the Democrats are going to remove Trump from office, at some point they will have to produce real actual evidence to justify this other than hysterical accusations of secret Russian facebook ads. These kinds of shrill accusations are great for whipping up mobs of unhinged social justice warriors, but not so good at actually removing Trump from office.
The problem is there is no actual evidence of Russia changing the outcome of the election. Mueller has done his best to find and cook up evidence of “collusion,” but it’s clear that what he’s found is minor at best… assuming he’s found anything at all. Most in the media understand that nothing impeachable has happened, as James O’Keefe uncovered last year.
Trump has also repeatedly made his displeasure with Jeff Sessions known, and clearly wants him out of office. For much of the first two years of Trump’s presidency, the Republicans made it clear they would not allow him to remove Sessions.
However, as the Russia investigation has dragged on and on and the DoJ’s embarrassing failures have become more prominent and apparent, the GOP has conceded Sessions is a problem and has signaled support for his removal after the 2018 elections.
Mueller has been in Washington a long time and knows how to read the political climate. He is not dumb, and understands with Sessions on the way out, his time is very limited. If he isn’t fired outright, he will certainly be told by a new Attorney General to limit and wrap up his investigation.
To avoid this embarrassment, Mueller is getting ready to conclude things now. The reason he has yet to deliver his final report is for two reasons. The first is that Mueller concluding no real crime was committed will massively deflate the Democrat base, which has already been deflated by the Kavanaugh confirmation. Second, in the unlikely event Democrats take the Senate, Trump could potentially be impeached without real evidence, so Mueller’s report can be reworked to help this in the event the Democrats take both houses of Congress.
But it’s extremely unlikely at this point the Democrats will take the Senate. Instead, they seem to be poised to lose more seats. Their chances of taking the House are also very uncertain as well.
I expect Mueller’s report will claim that there was Russian interference, and he will cite things like “Russian Facebook Ads” and Donald Trump Jr.’s meeting with the Russian lawyer as proof Putin was trying to interfere with the results, and will chide Trump for not being careful enough to avoid the appearance of impropriety. But he will reluctantly conclude there was no systematic effort by the Trump team to subvert US elections at all.
That will let be enough to let him declare victory. The reason for Politico‘s article is to prepare the party faithful for this outcome. I expect to see more articles like this from the media in the coming days as they start to back off on Trump impeachment.
The Democrats will not stop screeching that Trump is a “Putin puppet,” but the “Russian hacking of the 2016 elections” conspiracy theory will end up being relegated to the same level as the “Bush stole the 2000 elections” and “Bush ordered the CIA to fly the planes into the Twin Towers” conspiracy theories. The party faithful will tell each other these lies, but they will otherwise be discredited as they deserve to be.