Now that Kavanaugh is confirmed and the liberal grand strategy on the confirmation fight has failed miserably, we’re going to start reaping the benefits.
Election Night all over again. pic.twitter.com/Ye2omtUqrN
— Laura Ingraham (@IngrahamAngle) October 6, 2018
McConnell: “I want to thank the mob, because they’ve done the one thing we were having trouble doing, which was energizing our base.” https://t.co/YbB9ldklGN
— Aaron Blake (@AaronBlake) October 6, 2018
Qunnipiac: Generic Ballot among white women
Jul 22: D+14
Sep 9: D+5
Sep 30: D+1
— Adrian Gray (@adrian_gray) October 4, 2018
Poll: Josh Hawley Takes Lead Over Sen. Claire McCaskill (D-MO) After She Announces Opposition to Kavanaugh. By A 7% Margin, Missouri Voters Say McCaskill Is Wrong On Kavanaugh. #ConfirmKavanaughNow #Trump https://t.co/BjoEA6YWCm pic.twitter.com/BgjaOU0NLZ
— Rep Security Council (@RSCGOP) September 30, 2018
As I mentioned in my last post on this subject, the liberals made a huge error in judgment with the Kavanaugh confirmation battle. They decided to turn it into a “Stalingrad” by enlarging the fight and throwing all their resources into it, turning Kavanaugh from a generic Republican into a new “Hitler” who had to be stopped at all costs.
The problem is, they did this without a clear strategy for victory. The strategy. such as it was, seems to have been to intimidate friendly #NeverTrumpers with the media, and with mobs and violent threats. When boiled down, the strategy seems to have been to “make a lot of noise and hope for a miracle.” This is similar, though more intense, to how the Democrats behaved during the shutdown fight in January.
Just like the shutdown, the Democrats lost, and lost catastrophically. If they did not have a real means to win, they should have held their fire, but they couldn’t restrain themselves and turned loose mobs on their political opponents, hoping to intimidate.them into submission.
These tactics were viewed with revulsion by the American people, and only served to drive a chunk of the #NeverTrumpers into Trump’s waiting arms. It was clear that there was a sea change in the air when Lindsey Graham took the lead in the effort to get Kavanaugh through. Whether Graham had a genuine change of heart or whether he is just doing it for political advantage, his political instincts are good given how long he has been in the Senate, and he seized the moment at exactly the right time.
How will this impact the elections? The facts on the ground have not really changed since 2016:
- The Democrats have entirely ditched their former working class base, which has been stampeding to the GOP over the issues of jobs and wages, which the Democrats have failed for decades to deliver on
- The Democrats primarily run on non-issues such as transgender bathrooms, “saving the planet,” RUSSIA!, and feminism. Nobody outside the wealthy coastal elites cares and a small cadre of social justice warriors about these issues.
- The American people, especially the GOP, are very worried about jobs and immigration, and the rising crime and social chaos mass immigration is bringing in
- The Democrats have been losing election after election since 2000. In particular, they lost 2010, 2014, and 2016 – three of the last four elections.
- When Democrats get into power, basic “bread and butter” governance issues fall by the wayside. Chicago, Detroit, and Baltimore all serve as cautionary tales to the rest of the country.
- The social justice warriors have been electoral poison, generally acting like fascist thugs and turning former friends into enemies
Instead of taking a long, hard look at what went wrong in 2016, the Democrats doubled down on basically everything they did wrong, and are counting on anti-Trump hysteria to solve all their problems.
The Kavanaugh confirmation battle is evidence the Democrats have overreached yet again, and they seem almost certain to blow their big chance in the 2018 elections by scaring or enraging wavering Republicans and driving them into Trump’s camp.
Until the Democrats can actually offer a compelling vision for the country and a credible policy on jobs and the economy, they aren’t going to recover. The Democrats could well be reduced to a weakened regional party if they suffer another major defeat.