Robert Romano compares the current election to the 1970s, and I think there’s a lot of merit to his argument:
Richard Nixon was in the White House. The Vietnam War was still fully engaged. And the counter culture and the protest movement were at the height of their power.
And the left was overplaying its hand with violent protests.
Midterm elections are typically not that kind to incumbent political parties — typically 35 seats are lost on average in the House, and 6 seats in the Senate, in elections going back to 1900 — but there are exceptions to the rule.
1970 was one of those years. Then, Republicans did lose 12 seats in the House, but picked up 4 seats in the Senate. If that’s what happens in November, Republicans would retain the House and the Senate.
Well don’t look now, but this might be a repeat performance.
Democrats need to pick up a net of two seats to gain control of the Senate. Instead, they look like they’ll be losing a few seats.
This is the good news.
The bad news, of course, is that if he is correct, we are looking at years of unhinged violence by the left and possibly outright left wing terrorism. Right now incidents of serious violence have been mostly sporadic, with the “official” left contenting itself with threats, harassment, and intimidation. But that may well change in the event of a major defeat in the 2018 elections.