Bolsonaro Suddenly Looks like a Winner in Brazil

Late surge?

DF - SENADO/BOLSONARO - POLÍTICA - O deputado Jair Bolsonaro (PP-RJ) é visto no plenário do Senado, em Brasília (DF), nesta terça-feira. 11/02/2014 - Foto: DIDA SAMPAIO/ESTADÃO CONTEÚDO

Bolsonaro is showing sudden huge gains… among women. Very interesting how the feminist opposition to both Brett Kavanaugh and Jair Bolsonaro have caused increases in their female support.

Amaral is part of a growing number of women who opinion polls show have recently warmed to Bolsonaro, a divisive candidate whose comments belittling rape and defending the gender pay gap have long alienated many female voters.

If the trend continues, some of the women who previously balked at the former army captain could help propel him to the presidency, and possibly a first-round victory on Sunday, pollsters and analysts say.

That prospect cheers investors who fear a return of the PT’s state-run policies, but terrifies Bolsonaro’s critics, who say his views echo those of U.S. President Donald Trump or even hardline Philippine President Rodrigo Duterte.

An Ibope poll released on Wednesday night showed Bolsonaro with a strong first-round lead over second-placed Haddad.

That survey and others indicate that a run-off vote between the two, which would take place on Oct. 28 if nobody clinches a majority on Sunday, would be close.

Bolsonaro’s support among women has risen some 6 percentage points in the last week alone, the polls suggest.

That is all the more surprising given it comes just days after his candidacy provoked the largest female-led street demonstrations Brazil has seen in decades.

Far from slowing Bolsonaro, a federal congressman who was hospitalized for much of September after being stabbed in an assassination attempt, the protests appear to have helped him, particularly among some women who viewed the young, progressive protesters as PT supporters.

A part of me is cynical, though, and presumes Bolsonaro was always winning and the pollsters just now are gradually moving toward the “real” number to maintain their credibility with the actual voting coming soon.


Written by Doomberg

I am Doomberg, one of the original founding members of Sparta Report, and have been here since the beginning. I am an insatiable news junkie and enjoy reading and writing about the US territories, the Caribbean, video games, smartphones, and of course conservative politics in general.

I also really like pictures of gas stations and claim full responsibility for the silly gas station motif. I'm presently trapped behind enemy lines in a blue state with no hope of escape! The ride never ends.


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