Don’t look now, but all of the high pitched screaming from the media about RACISM!!! doesn’t seem to be harming Trump:
A recent Harvard/Harris poll recorded a 10-point spike in Hispanic support for Mr. Trump. It hasn’t received much attention from the mainstream media, which is heavily invested in its portrait of the president as an unrepentant — and unpopular — “nativist.”
Coming in the midst of the nationwide controversy over children and families at the U.S.-Mexico border, it suggests that Hispanics may not be the entrenched liberal voting constituency that Democrats so often imagine.
And consider Florida’s hotly-contested Senate race. Republican Gov. Rick Scott is besting his Democratic opponent among Hispanics, according to a Mason-Dixon poll. Historically, a large and aging Cuban-American exile community has given Republicans a decided partisan edge in the Sunshine State.
In fact, the recent tilt in Hispanic support toward the GOP has highlighted the divergences in partisan affiliation that have existed for years, especially among different Hispanic nationalities. Most Central American and Caribbean Hispanics tilt Democratic. However, in addition to Cuban-Americans, relatively large percentages of Mexican-Americans in Arizona, New Mexico, Texas and even southern California have often voted for Republican candidates.
This isn’t the only poll showing this, either, and it appears to be a real trend.
There’s a few reasons this is happening. First, nothing succeeds like success, and Trump has been bringing home the bacon economically. His economic policies appear to be working and have been producing a labor boom and good GDP growth that we haven’t seen in years.
Second, as I have written about extensively, the American public is increasingly tuning out the media hysterics. The media has been screaming about Trump, at full volume, for almost three years. It’s becoming less and less effective, which is why the media keeps turning up the volume like with the “children in cages” hoax.
But that last point from the final paragraph is really important, and often overlooked.
Hispanics aren’t a monolithic monoculture the way US blacks are. Costa Ricans aren’t Mexicans. Colombians aren’t Chileans. Saying all Hispanics are the same is like saying there’s no difference between Americans and Germans or British and Polish. Not everyone emigrating to the US is an impoverished poor person looking to live off the public dole.
We’ve been absorbing Latin America’s best and brightest for some time. Venezuela’s educated professional class, for example, fled the country long ago when they saw which way the wind was blowing. Many of these people don’t easily fit into the “aggrieved minority” box the Democrats have been desperately trying to stuff them in.
Latin America, right now, is in the middle of anti-socialist backlash. Socialists such as Dilma Rousseff in Brazil, Rafael Correa in Ecuador and Cristina Fernandez in Argentina have been forced out of power. Maduro has clung to power, but his country has been reduced to a charnel house and is a regional pariah. Ivan Duque recently defeated his socialist opponent to become president of Colombia.
I don’t think it takes much of a leap to speculate this trend is also having an influence on the US Latino population.
Many of the educated Hispanic professional types also came to the country legally, and may resent the illegals coming in and soaking up the benefits and bringing the problems of the “old country” with them.
The Democrats however, don’t seem to really understand that it will be harder than they think to fuse Costa Ricans, Colombians, etc into a single “Hispanic” identity. But it’s understandable that the Democrats would be confused. After all, I am sure that all those little brown people all look the same to the Democrats.