While the Republicans have lost some high profile races and special elections recently, Pollak (one of the smartest people presently writing about politics) is arguing that there are some encouraging signs for the party as the 2018 midterms approach:
For months, pundits — myself included — have been talking about the coming “Blue Wave,” an anticipated flood of Democratic voters in the 2018 midterm elections, shocked by Donald Trump’s election and enraged by his policies.
But the first important contests of 2018 have raised new questions about whether the “Blue Wave” is going to be as strong, or as solid, as was once thought.
In Texas, the first state to hold its 2018 primary, Democrats did, indeed, flock to the polls, roughly doubling their turnout from the last midterm elections in 2014.
But Republican candidates did very well: Sen. Ted Cruz (R-TX), for example, “received more votes in the 2018 Republican primary election than the entire turnout of voters in the Democratic primary.”
In the special election in Pennsylvania last week, Democrat Conor Lamb narrowly defeated State Representative Rick Saccone (R- Allegheny/Washington) in a district that Trump won by nearly 20 points in 2016.
But Lamb ran far to the right of his party, openly opposing House Minority Leader Nancy Pelosi (D-CA) and supporting many of President Trump’s policies.
And in the Illinois primary this week, Democrats turned out in droves, but most of their “progressive” candidates failed. The loss that hurt the “Resistance” most was in the third congressional district, where pro-life Democrat Dan Lipinski hung on to defeat challenger Marie Newman by over 2,000 votes.